In Sight of the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 203 (40 on the archive and 163 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 135
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 898 | 840 | 58% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1011 | 819 | 75% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
| 1259 | 1226 | 55% | 2022-01-13 | Won |
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 968 | 990 | 47% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 1128 | 916 | 77% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1261 | 1173 | 62% | 2020-02-02 | Won |
| 917 | 917 | 50% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1033 | 969 | 59% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1062 | 892 | 73% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 980 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1259 | 11% | 2017-05-01 | Lost |
| 881 | 995 | 34% | 2017-01-23 | Lost |
| 980 | 995 | 48% | 2016-10-12 | Lost |
| 968 | 1057 | 37% | 2016-06-12 | Lost |
| 1013 | 968 | 56% | 2015-09-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 1010 | 43% | 2015-01-04 | Won |
| 969 | 951 | 53% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
| 1259 | 946 | 86% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-02-27 | Lost |
| 900 | 1096 | 24% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 924 | 946 | 47% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
| 957 | 995 | 45% | 2012-11-04 | Tied |
| 924 | 924 | 50% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 944 | 1096 | 29% | 2012-01-04 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
| 924 | 892 | 55% | 2011-06-10 | Won |
| 1103 | 972 | 68% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-09-30 | Lost |
| 982 | 872 | 65% | 2010-06-06 | Won |
| 947 | 878 | 60% | 2008-07-21 | Lost |
| 943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-08-09 | Lost |
| 992 | 989 | 50% | 2004-11-27 | Lost |
| 963 | 1002 | 44% | 2004-07-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 978 | 67% | 2004-06-19 | Lost |
| 1062 | 866 | 76% | 1998-09-14 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1040 | 64% | 1996-10-10 | Lost |
| 881 | 1040 | 29% | 1994-03-04 | Lost |
| 1132 | 839 | 84% | | Lost |
| 1132 | 839 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1010.9 vs 982 has a 54.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).