The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 20
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1022 | 40% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 952 | 1085 | 32% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 898 | 894 | 51% | 2022-01-11 | Won |
| 1143 | 1147 | 49% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1128 | 1009 | 66% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
| 957 | 1006 | 43% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 965 | 1012 | 43% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
| 840 | 898 | 42% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1065 | 43% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 1124 | 907 | 78% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1038 | 916 | 67% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
| 933 | 916 | 52% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1238 | 41% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
| 1087 | 944 | 69% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 972 | 949 | 53% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
| 989 | 916 | 60% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 977 | 959 | 53% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
| 878 | 907 | 46% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 947 | 1027 | 39% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 1208 | 979 | 79% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 1164 | 1028 | 69% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 881 | 76% | 1993-03-26 | Won |
| 981 | 1024 | 44% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1068 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1017.1 vs 999.9 has a 52.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).