Toujours L'Audace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (20 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 87
Defender wins (Belgian): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1096 | 45% | 2022-10-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 819 | 75% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2020-01-15 | Won |
| 980 | 1003 | 47% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 1107 | 57% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 1030 | 1299 | 18% | 2015-05-13 | Won |
| 847 | 939 | 37% | 2014-08-07 | Won |
| 1016 | 1259 | 20% | 2014-06-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 918 | 55% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
| 924 | 924 | 50% | 2012-06-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-09 | Won |
| 1081 | 1113 | 45% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
| 1047 | 947 | 64% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
| 989 | 916 | 60% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 995 | 48% | 2006-01-31 | Lost |
| 1062 | 866 | 76% | 1998-05-10 | Won |
| 911 | 1040 | 32% | 1993-08-27 | Won |
| 983 | 964 | 53% | 1991-03-02 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1008.7 vs 1019.6 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).