The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (12 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Italian): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 930 | 48% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1259 | 25% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 947 | 964 | 48% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1070 | 56% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 980 | 1003 | 47% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1096 | 916 | 74% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 1030 | 1299 | 18% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1267 | 20% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1098 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1110 | 40% | 1995-01-21 | Won |
| 992 | 1062 | 40% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1081.5 has a 43.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).