On the Kokoda Trail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (18 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 89
Defender wins (Australian): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 992 | 50% | 2022-01-25 | Won |
| 996 | 1261 | 18% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 980 | 1003 | 47% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2018-10-02 | Won |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1184 | 1122 | 59% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1184 | 41% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 1069 | 1120 | 43% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1030 | 1299 | 18% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 995 | 980 | 52% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
| 1213 | 947 | 82% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1047 | 1029 | 53% | 2010-01-25 | Won |
| 922 | 1098 | 27% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 963 | 62% | 2004-07-10 | Won |
| 1110 | 1040 | 60% | 1995-01-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 964 | 53% | 1993-03-28 | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1070.3 has a 48.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).