Art Nouveau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (21 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Belgian): 59
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 849 | 1073 | 22% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 971 | 1040 | 40% | 2023-07-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 1107 | 33% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1027 | 45% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
| 972 | 1037 | 41% | 2015-04-20 | Won |
| 1081 | 1167 | 38% | 2015-01-03 | Won |
| 919 | 1040 | 33% | 2008-11-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1016 | 53% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1086 | 48% | 2006-08-26 | Won |
| 892 | 832 | 59% | 2006-08-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 935 | 61% | 2004-05-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1048 | 48% | 2002-02-08 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1055 | 53% | 2000-11-05 | Won |
| 1074 | 1102 | 46% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1098 | 37% | 1999-04-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1999-03-20 | Won |
| 974 | 1046 | 40% | 1998-12-09 | Won |
| 1141 | 1073 | 60% | 1998-12-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 901 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1009.2 vs 1038.4 has a 45.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).