Ad Hoc at Beaurains
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 898 | 75% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 1209 | 907 | 85% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 988 | 947 | 56% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2009-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 958 | 53% | 2007-07-14 | Won |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2003-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1030.8 vs 974.2 has a 58.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).