Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (38 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 62
Defender wins (New Zealand): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-03-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 958 | 973 | 48% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 958 | 973 | 48% | 2023-12-21 | Won |
| 958 | 973 | 48% | 2023-12-08 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1016 | 57% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 964 | 62% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 968 | 988 | 47% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 923 | 968 | 44% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 974 | 791 | 74% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
| 1034 | 1047 | 48% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 1005 | 57% | 2020-02-09 | Won |
| 1019 | 968 | 57% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 945 | 969 | 47% | 2020-01-09 | Lost |
| 935 | 885 | 57% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2018-03-04 | Won |
| 973 | 968 | 51% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 906 | 56% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1083 | 968 | 66% | 2017-06-04 | Won |
| 964 | 913 | 57% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1057 | 968 | 63% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 947 | 1213 | 18% | 2016-12-31 | Won |
| 995 | 1091 | 37% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 1065 | 43% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 931 | 57% | 2016-06-22 | Won |
| 980 | 1003 | 47% | 2015-08-04 | Lost |
| 1038 | 916 | 67% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
| 916 | 1038 | 33% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
| 947 | 902 | 56% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-07-04 | Tied |
| 924 | 924 | 50% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 977 | 959 | 53% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
| 1062 | 997 | 59% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1047 | 46% | 2009-10-13 | Won |
| 1040 | 1120 | 39% | 2002-11-16 | Won |
| 934 | 829 | 65% | 2002-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 990.3 vs 979.6 has a 51.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).