Throwing Down the Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 13
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
| 906 | 1040 | 32% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 958 | 56% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1003 | 980 | 53% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1137 | 939 | 76% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 865 | 1207 | 12% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 992 | 924 | 60% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1062 | 957 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 995.6 vs 997.6 has a 49.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).