Blood and Guts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 918 | 61% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 1032 | 1096 | 41% | 2017-09-23 | Tied |
| 980 | 1003 | 47% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 1271 | 1228 | 56% | 2014-08-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 697 | 1043 | 12% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2011-09-12 | Won |
| 1228 | 1003 | 79% | 2007-08-19 | Won |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2002-11-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2000-01-09 | Won |
| 979 | 1183 | 24% | 1999-05-11 | Lost |
| 1062 | 893 | 73% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1006.1 vs 1039.1 has a 45.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).