The Bridge at Cheneux
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1189 | 1128 | 59% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-12-11 | Lost |
931 | 1048 | 34% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
986 | 1167 | 26% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
1061 | 1074 | 48% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
906 | 1214 | 15% | 2018-01-06 | Lost |
964 | 1080 | 34% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
1033 | 822 | 77% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
1074 | 980 | 63% | 2010-04-08 | Won |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-10-27 | Won |
994 | 1018 | 47% | 2005-06-17 | Lost |
1098 | 1046 | 57% | 2005-06-01 | Lost |
1074 | 1042 | 55% | 1999-04-04 | Won |
1098 | 890 | 77% | 1997-12-21 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 1043.6 has a 49.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).