The Sand Spit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Japanese): 6
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 906 | 68% | 2023-08-15 | Won |
| 1071 | 1040 | 54% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 1215 | 976 | 80% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1040 | 53% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2007-04-18 | Won |
| 1183 | 1191 | 49% | 2002-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1083.1 vs 1022 has a 58.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).