Guryev's Headquarters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (37 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 918 | 67% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 880 | 930 | 43% | 2024-04-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1015 | 1126 | 35% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1146 | 33% | 2023-07-05 | Won |
| 831 | 1058 | 21% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 968 | 982 | 48% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1058 | 55% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 928 | 56% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 968 | 923 | 56% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1146 | 1134 | 52% | 2019-12-03 | Won |
| 1058 | 1066 | 49% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 968 | 1024 | 42% | 2018-08-10 | Lost |
| 1001 | 968 | 55% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 926 | 968 | 44% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 971 | 995 | 47% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 971 | 1112 | 31% | 2017-11-11 | Tied |
| 1075 | 968 | 65% | 2017-04-04 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | Won |
| 1012 | 1009 | 50% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 995 | 957 | 55% | 2012-12-16 | Won |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2012-12-16 | Lost |
| 924 | 924 | 50% | 2012-04-04 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2010-07-10 | Lost |
| 739 | 1047 | 15% | 2010-03-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1043 | 51% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 1033 | 51% | 2009-10-19 | Won |
| 1004 | 985 | 53% | 2009-06-27 | Lost |
| 979 | 1183 | 24% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1108 | 43% | 2003-10-09 | Won |
| 1146 | 975 | 73% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1083 | 963 | 67% | 1999-04-17 | Won |
| 1228 | 975 | 81% | 1996-11-16 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1092 | 43% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1002.4 vs 1011.9 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).