Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 968 | 51% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 980 | 995 | 48% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 1044 | 1128 | 38% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 968 | 1128 | 28% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 995 | 1067 | 40% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1209 | 50% | 2015-01-17 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2014-06-03 | Lost |
| 985 | 959 | 54% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1084 | 41% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 916 | 995 | 39% | 2010-09-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1047 | 74% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
| 1043 | 952 | 63% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 1225 | 33% | 2006-07-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
| 1030 | 1299 | 18% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1113 | 963 | 70% | 1999-09-06 | Won |
| 1062 | 901 | 72% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 839 | 1132 | 16% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1029.6 vs 1060.2 has a 45.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).