The Guns of Naro
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (Italian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1209 | 1177 | 55% | 2024-02-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1091 | 37% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2022-12-01 | Lost |
| 1006 | 962 | 56% | 2022-07-10 | Lost |
| 965 | 923 | 56% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1070 | 1073 | 50% | 2021-03-14 | Won |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2021-02-24 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
| 1067 | 958 | 65% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 985 | 1279 | 16% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 1169 | 983 | 74% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1043 | 946 | 64% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1035 | 959 | 61% | 2014-07-06 | Won |
| 991 | 949 | 56% | 2013-12-28 | Tied |
| 1000 | 916 | 62% | 2012-04-16 | Won |
| 920 | 986 | 41% | 2000-04-07 | Lost |
| 1074 | 840 | 79% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1009 has a 52.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).