The Capture of Balta
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German / Romanian): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German / Romanian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1113 | 34% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
| 980 | 1003 | 47% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 1035 | 974 | 59% | 2016-08-07 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1230 | 21% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 995 | 980 | 52% | 2015-06-08 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1005 | 68% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 947 | 878 | 60% | 2008-07-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2007-07-14 | Won |
| 1114 | 1100 | 52% | 2006-10-22 | Won |
| 1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2005-04-23 | Tied |
| 1040 | 1049 | 49% | 2001-02-23 | Won |
| 1040 | 1102 | 41% | 2001-02-23 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1062 | 62% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1039.7 has a 53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).