A Burnt Out Case
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (9 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1101 | 44% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 974 | 1037 | 41% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
| 995 | 978 | 52% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 956 | 1084 | 32% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 922 | 1021 | 36% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1132 | 26% | 2002-10-18 | Lost |
| 988 | 963 | 54% | 2001-11-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1132 | 26% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 993.1 vs 1075.1 has a 38.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).