Silesian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 981 | 946 | 55% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1155 | 38% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1043 | 40% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2023-07-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 973 | 1110 | 31% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1103 | 1120 | 48% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 946 | 1001 | 42% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1013 | 51% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
| 954 | 1239 | 16% | 2019-12-23 | Won |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2019-09-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1062 | 51% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 916 | 947 | 46% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 964 | 966 | 50% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 968 | 1070 | 36% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1070 | 36% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1148 | 68% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 974 | 1035 | 41% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 976 | 1207 | 21% | 2016-09-13 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 1064 | 39% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 989 | 65% | 2014-10-04 | Lost |
| 1148 | 942 | 77% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 821 | 916 | 37% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 929 | 967 | 45% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 958 | 71% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
| 1056 | 1018 | 55% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1155 | 1090 | 59% | 2010-10-16 | Lost |
| 922 | 1098 | 27% | 2010-03-23 | Won |
| 905 | 1081 | 27% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1146 | 36% | 2008-11-05 | Lost |
| 992 | 1081 | 37% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 971 | 1309 | 13% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-04-04 | Lost |
| 922 | 1034 | 34% | 2005-03-23 | Won |
| 1183 | 1148 | 55% | 2002-09-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1091 | 51% | 2001-10-13 | Lost |
| 998 | 963 | 55% | 2001-08-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2001-07-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-07-18 | Won |
| 963 | 988 | 46% | 2001-07-11 | Won |
| 1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2001-06-22 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 839 | 1132 | 16% | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1009.1 vs 1059.4 has a 42.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).