Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (9 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 22
Defender wins (French): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1027 | 45% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 972 | 972 | 50% | 2023-01-08 | Lost |
| 1015 | 935 | 61% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 971 | 60% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 889 | 1067 | 26% | 2013-02-26 | Won |
| 870 | 1159 | 16% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1103 | 56% | 2007-05-05 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1038 | 51% | 2003-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 996.8 vs 1034 has a 44.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).