The Tractor Works
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 178 (49 on the archive and 129 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 56
Defender wins (Russian): 118
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 995 | 51% | 2024-06-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1000 | 968 | 55% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-09-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1040 | 56% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 898 | 1085 | 25% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 995 | 965 | 54% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1226 | 55% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 970 | 970 | 50% | 2021-05-20 | Won |
| 1079 | 1016 | 59% | 2021-03-16 | Lost |
| 995 | 918 | 61% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
| 995 | 918 | 61% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
| 1007 | 1230 | 22% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 923 | 968 | 44% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 995 | 1113 | 34% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 926 | 965 | 44% | 2018-03-23 | Tied |
| 968 | 971 | 50% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2018-02-01 | Tied |
| 1020 | 1009 | 52% | 2017-12-09 | Lost |
| 1120 | 947 | 73% | 2017-09-22 | Won |
| 964 | 947 | 52% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 968 | 956 | 52% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 968 | 1083 | 34% | 2017-03-03 | Won |
| 999 | 1005 | 49% | 2016-10-24 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2015-10-15 | Lost |
| 1259 | 935 | 87% | 2015-08-07 | Won |
| 980 | 1003 | 47% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 947 | 1120 | 27% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1259 | 26% | 2013-07-09 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1073 | 74% | 2013-07-08 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1030 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Won |
| 1067 | 1008 | 58% | 2012-09-10 | Lost |
| 878 | 947 | 40% | 2011-07-28 | Lost |
| 1002 | 963 | 56% | 2010-11-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2010-10-02 | Lost |
| 964 | 983 | 47% | 2010-03-12 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1026 | 55% | 2010-03-11 | Won |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2010-01-07 | Tied |
| 1149 | 1088 | 59% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1126 | 1045 | 61% | 2009-05-01 | Lost |
| 952 | 959 | 49% | 2008-12-23 | Won |
| 1155 | 1090 | 59% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 901 | 1093 | 25% | 2007-10-12 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-03-26 | Tied |
| 1186 | 1037 | 70% | 2005-09-08 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1279 | 51% | 2005-01-01 | Lost |
| 862 | 907 | 44% | 2004-09-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 964 | 53% | 1992-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1022.9 vs 1021.2 has a 50.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).