The Hedgehog of Piepsk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-06-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-10-23 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1177 | 57% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 995 | 51% | 2023-05-29 | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2023-05-22 | Won |
| 1069 | 1031 | 55% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-12-15 | Won |
| 1259 | 1226 | 55% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 918 | 995 | 39% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 918 | 995 | 39% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 895 | 819 | 61% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 903 | 1259 | 11% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1044 | 49% | 2020-07-21 | Lost |
| 917 | 946 | 46% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1230 | 22% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 988 | 1259 | 17% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1113 | 995 | 66% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
| 968 | 1022 | 42% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 992 | 53% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
| 964 | 947 | 52% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 968 | 1083 | 34% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1003 | 980 | 53% | 2015-05-19 | Won |
| 852 | 823 | 54% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
| 1259 | 821 | 93% | 2013-08-26 | Lost |
| 964 | 947 | 52% | 2010-03-28 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1134 | 52% | 2007-12-29 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2007-04-19 | Lost |
| 943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-07-11 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1020 vs 1025.3 has a 49.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).