The Puma Prowls
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 483 (89 on the archive and 394 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 226
Defender wins (German): 255
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 995 | 1113 | 34% | 2024-09-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-07-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-20 | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-01-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-10-30 | Won |
| 831 | 826 | 51% | 2023-01-22 | Lost |
| 968 | 973 | 49% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 990 | 1011 | 47% | 2022-10-14 | Won |
| 927 | 927 | 50% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1006 | 72% | 2021-10-04 | Won |
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 971 | 1076 | 35% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
| 1046 | 1040 | 51% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 918 | 995 | 39% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 918 | 995 | 39% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1131 | 37% | 2020-08-30 | Lost |
| 980 | 924 | 58% | 2020-05-10 | Won |
| 924 | 968 | 44% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 957 | 1016 | 42% | 2020-02-18 | Won |
| 971 | 928 | 56% | 2020-02-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1105 | 47% | 2020-01-23 | Won |
| 1105 | 1084 | 53% | 2020-01-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1026 | 52% | 2020-01-08 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1034 | 79% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 1101 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1070 | 1211 | 31% | 2018-12-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1098 | 50% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1037 | 66% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 924 | 1020 | 37% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 982 | 1053 | 40% | 2018-02-24 | Lost |
| 903 | 862 | 56% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 963 | 979 | 48% | 2017-10-20 | Lost |
| 1083 | 968 | 66% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1207 | 865 | 88% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
| 947 | 963 | 48% | 2016-12-31 | Won |
| 1054 | 984 | 60% | 2016-12-22 | Lost |
| 995 | 972 | 53% | 2016-08-21 | Lost |
| 1026 | 979 | 57% | 2016-08-11 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1259 | 31% | 2016-06-09 | Won |
| 1184 | 1122 | 59% | 2016-03-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 980 | 53% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
| 987 | 931 | 58% | 2015-09-20 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1084 | 52% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1016 | 80% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1006 | 970 | 55% | 2014-11-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1158 | 27% | 2014-10-14 | Tied |
| 847 | 868 | 47% | 2014-09-01 | Won |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2014-03-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2014-03-28 | Won |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-09-08 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-06-23 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1090 | 59% | 2011-09-25 | Won |
| 913 | 987 | 40% | 2011-01-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 938 | 56% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-07-29 | Won |
| 1093 | 1125 | 45% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1018 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-18 | Won |
| 951 | 1189 | 20% | 2009-08-09 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1279 | 29% | 2009-06-13 | Lost |
| 739 | 1047 | 15% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1081 | 60% | 2008-11-22 | Won |
| 1155 | 957 | 76% | 2008-11-21 | Lost |
| 889 | 1149 | 18% | 2008-02-21 | Won |
| 901 | 1032 | 32% | 2008-01-13 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1066 | 47% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
| 1066 | 1046 | 53% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
| 862 | 931 | 40% | 2006-09-02 | Won |
| 1037 | 1186 | 30% | 2006-08-03 | Won |
| 1076 | 916 | 72% | 2006-07-21 | Won |
| 1186 | 1037 | 70% | 2006-06-21 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1046 | 53% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 955 | 1124 | 27% | 2003-09-12 | Lost |
| 955 | 1086 | 32% | 2003-08-17 | Lost |
| 954 | 918 | 55% | 2001-03-22 | Lost |
| 1154 | 963 | 75% | 1999-04-30 | Won |
| 1002 | 954 | 57% | 1998-06-18 | Won |
| 872 | 1062 | 25% | 1997-06-06 | Won |
Attacking (44 wins) average ELOs: 1020 vs 1021.8 has a 49.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).