Ranger Stronghold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 252 (39 on the archive and 213 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 169
Defender wins (American): 83
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 876 | 831 | 56% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 968 | 916 | 57% | 2020-10-13 | Won |
| 1040 | 993 | 57% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
| 868 | 1031 | 28% | 2020-04-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 916 | 77% | 2020-02-11 | Won |
| 968 | 1018 | 43% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 1056 | 1035 | 53% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 967 | 982 | 48% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1036 | 1058 | 47% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1065 | 925 | 69% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 958 | 1110 | 29% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 964 | 881 | 62% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
| 968 | 1083 | 34% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 968 | 1042 | 40% | 2017-01-12 | Won |
| 1259 | 1124 | 69% | 2016-07-05 | Won |
| 980 | 1003 | 47% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1122 | 1184 | 41% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
| 847 | 939 | 37% | 2015-02-09 | Lost |
| 847 | 868 | 47% | 2014-09-22 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1158 | 29% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2012-11-13 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1018 | 69% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
| 964 | 983 | 47% | 2010-12-15 | Won |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 1004 | 1012 | 49% | 2010-04-26 | Won |
| 1189 | 951 | 80% | 2009-08-10 | Won |
| 1043 | 697 | 88% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
| 739 | 1047 | 15% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 739 | 1047 | 15% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 1023 | 1081 | 42% | 2008-10-11 | Won |
| 1137 | 959 | 74% | 2008-09-17 | Won |
| 1146 | 863 | 84% | 2007-11-30 | Won |
| 1146 | 1134 | 52% | 2007-04-14 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1279 | 32% | 2007-02-04 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1046 | 52% | 2005-11-05 | Won |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 934 | 967 | 45% | 2001-05-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-03-21 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1215 | 29% | 1996-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1003.2 vs 1010.2 has a 48.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).