Test of Nerves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (British): 9
Defender wins (German (SS)): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 947 | 932 | 52% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 865 | 1207 | 12% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 944 | 986 | 44% | 2014-11-09 | Lost |
| 986 | 944 | 56% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
| 905 | 1081 | 27% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
| 995 | 1021 | 46% | 2008-12-11 | Lost |
| 1272 | 1030 | 80% | 2008-11-18 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1279 | 29% | 2006-03-27 | Won |
| 955 | 1009 | 42% | 2004-03-01 | Won |
| 1040 | 1120 | 39% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
| 986 | 905 | 61% | 2002-10-26 | Won |
| 963 | 1078 | 34% | 1999-08-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 1998-06-14 | Won |
| 872 | 1062 | 25% | 1998-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 995.5 vs 1050.4 has a 42.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).