First Contact, First Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (3 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 1124 | 49% | 2024-02-06 | Won |
| 1214 | 933 | 83% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 933 | 1214 | 17% | 2021-07-21 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1088.3 vs 1090.3 has a 49.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).