Under Siege
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (8 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 23
Defender wins (German): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 819 | 1042 | 22% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 995 | 1045 | 43% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 974 | 1029 | 42% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 949 | 1084 | 31% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1084 | 986 | 64% | 2011-09-12 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1084 | 59% | 2011-08-30 | Lost |
| 963 | 963 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 986.5 vs 1029.1 has a 43.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).