The Hornet of Cloville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 966 | 53% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1323 | 1048 | 83% | 2018-12-30 | Won |
| 964 | 1080 | 34% | 2015-05-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 1163 | 23% | 2014-03-05 | Lost |
| 946 | 931 | 52% | 2010-01-28 | Won |
| 1023 | 1029 | 49% | 2010-01-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 965 | 59% | 2007-01-16 | Lost |
| 1025 | 952 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 918 | 994 | 39% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1086 | 48% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1091 | 43% | 2004-01-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1048 | 52% | 2000-08-01 | Won |
| 1074 | 941 | 68% | 2000-06-24 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1103 | 50% | 1997-04-01 | Won |
| 1120 | 1009 | 65% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1041.6 vs 1032.3 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).