Tod's Last Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (British): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1176 | 1059 | 66% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 947 | 964 | 48% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1092 | 52% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1223 | 1069 | 71% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 1084 | 906 | 74% | 2017-10-12 | Won |
| 986 | 1034 | 43% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1004 | 68% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 924 | 963 | 44% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 1018 | 28% | 2010-02-25 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1146 | 48% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 922 | 73% | 2006-12-24 | Won |
| 971 | 1279 | 15% | 2006-07-15 | Won |
| 976 | 939 | 55% | 2000-01-28 | Won |
| 1183 | 1166 | 52% | 2000-01-12 | Won |
| 1064 | 963 | 64% | 1999-02-24 | Won |
| 963 | 1113 | 30% | 1999-02-17 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1039.8 has a 51.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).