The Badger's Breath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (22 on the archive and 119 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (Canadian): 67
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1004 | 51% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 1208 | 22% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 962 | 990 | 46% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 970 | 946 | 53% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 1103 | 1035 | 60% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1101 | 791 | 86% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 955 | 58% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1279 | 22% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1309 | 23% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1084 | 986 | 64% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1047 | 1164 | 34% | 2009-02-16 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1169 | 28% | 2008-08-01 | Won |
| 1169 | 1041 | 68% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 965 | 1030 | 41% | 2007-06-26 | Lost |
| 959 | 986 | 46% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1072 | 44% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1208 | 959 | 81% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1267 | 1030 | 80% | 2007-01-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 1117 | 45% | 2006-06-23 | Won |
| 1218 | 947 | 83% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 881 | 1124 | 20% | 2005-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1052.6 has a 50.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).