Prussia in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (9 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 868 | 1040 | 27% | 2024-09-13 | Lost |
| 942 | 963 | 47% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 1071 | 49% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 924 | 924 | 50% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2007-02-06 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2007-02-06 | Lost |
| 927 | 1098 | 27% | 2007-01-20 | Won |
| 1124 | 922 | 76% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1002.1 vs 1020.7 has a 47.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).