The Hardest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 944 | 1076 | 32% | 2022-03-09 | Lost |
| 997 | 1020 | 47% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 1054 | 964 | 63% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1054 | 964 | 63% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2013-06-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | 2013-05-20 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
| 1081 | 905 | 73% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1021.2 vs 1021.7 has a 49.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).