Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (20 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 923 | 56% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 976 | 998 | 47% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1040 | 54% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1085 | 47% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 921 | 946 | 46% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 989 | 992 | 50% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 964 | 891 | 60% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 878 | 1155 | 17% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 954 | 930 | 53% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1279 | 1019 | 82% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1223 | 27% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 946 | 1043 | 36% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 901 | 900 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 922 | 1098 | 27% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 995 | 957 | 55% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 1134 | 1146 | 48% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1000.3 vs 1025.8 has a 46.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).