On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American/British): 8
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1146 | 46% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1108 | 73% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1155 | 963 | 75% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 976 | 1081 | 35% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 976 | 1035 | 42% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 971 | 52% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1057 | 1133 | 39% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1084 | 55% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 987 | 1075 | 38% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 823 | 78% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1062 | 53% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 946 | 976 | 46% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1134 | 1146 | 48% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 791 | 997 | 23% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 922 | 1009 | 38% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1272 | 20% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1233 | 922 | 86% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1041.2 has a 50.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).