Butchers and Bakers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (British): 17
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2023-02-08 | Won |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2023-02-05 | Won |
| 1128 | 1082 | 57% | 2021-10-20 | Won |
| 1015 | 968 | 57% | 2020-10-22 | Lost |
| 1009 | 984 | 54% | 2020-03-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 968 | 56% | 2020-03-12 | Lost |
| 1009 | 968 | 56% | 2020-03-12 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1009 | 66% | 2020-03-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2020-03-10 | Won |
| 1113 | 995 | 66% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2018-11-26 | Lost |
| 1001 | 981 | 53% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 945 | 1029 | 38% | 2017-07-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 960 | 49% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
| 960 | 951 | 51% | 2012-10-13 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1047 | 49% | 2011-12-30 | Won |
| 1040 | 972 | 60% | 2011-02-05 | Won |
| 982 | 1039 | 42% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 1012 | 1004 | 51% | 2010-04-19 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1012 | 49% | 2010-04-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 1146 | 27% | 2009-12-30 | Lost |
| 1039 | 984 | 58% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2009-02-11 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1062 | 51% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 1019 | 1155 | 31% | 2008-05-25 | Won |
| 1012 | 1052 | 44% | 2008-01-27 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1012 | 56% | 2008-01-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2007-12-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2007-12-29 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2007-11-07 | Won |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2007-10-15 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1018.3 vs 1019 has a 49.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).