Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2024-11-02 | Won |
| 965 | 1074 | 35% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 947 | 1060 | 34% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1169 | 30% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 906 | 1084 | 26% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 907 | 1026 | 34% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1051 | 53% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 970.6 vs 1053.9 has a 38.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).