Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (10 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (American): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 964 | 48% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 946 | 954 | 49% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1018 | 924 | 63% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1008 | 1183 | 27% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1062 | 927 | 69% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1062 | 40% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 922 | 1098 | 27% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 963 | 988 | 46% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 995.1 vs 1013.8 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).