Knocking on the Front Door
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1022 | 968 | 58% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
938 | 896 | 56% | 2012-05-22 | Lost |
1029 | 1047 | 47% | 2009-09-22 | Lost |
922 | 1098 | 27% | 2009-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 977.8 vs 1002.3 has a 46.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).