The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1144 | 51% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 974 | 966 | 51% | 2020-03-21 | Tied |
| 980 | 1091 | 35% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 918 | 1001 | 38% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
| 1066 | 952 | 66% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1162 | 1207 | 44% | 2018-01-25 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1094 | 1038 | 58% | 2015-01-30 | Won |
| 1178 | 1087 | 63% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1002 | 1158 | 29% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1016 | 993 | 53% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
| 995 | 1003 | 49% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1016 | 49% | 2013-12-31 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1054 | 49% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1047 | 45% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1259 | 33% | 2013-09-30 | Won |
| 1135 | 956 | 74% | 2013-08-01 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-04 | Won |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1040 | 51% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
| 947 | 1213 | 18% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 882 | 947 | 41% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1032.2 vs 1050.9 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).