Encircle This!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (15 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 999 | 58% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1058 | 47% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1093 | 976 | 66% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1120 | 947 | 73% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1057 | 47% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 898 | 1047 | 30% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1038 | 1215 | 27% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 1215 | 20% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1110 | 982 | 68% | 2010-04-21 | Won |
| 1018 | 1146 | 32% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1155 | 29% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 922 | 73% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1027.7 vs 1032.7 has a 49.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).