One More Hedgerow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 964 | 48% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 991 | 973 | 53% | 2021-12-26 | Won |
| 1129 | 1115 | 52% | 2021-11-03 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1150 | 49% | 2020-11-01 | Lost |
| 885 | 831 | 58% | 2020-08-06 | Won |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1039 | 989 | 57% | 2018-05-31 | Lost |
| 989 | 1039 | 43% | 2018-05-31 | Lost |
| 1113 | 995 | 66% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 881 | 995 | 34% | 2017-11-22 | Lost |
| 881 | 995 | 34% | 2017-07-20 | Lost |
| 995 | 1122 | 32% | 2015-09-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1038 | 58% | 2014-08-07 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 995 | 1113 | 34% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1113 | 995 | 66% | 2012-12-05 | Won |
| 917 | 906 | 52% | 2012-01-04 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-09-20 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1023 | 52% | 2010-12-22 | Won |
| 913 | 1215 | 15% | 2010-02-13 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1014.4 vs 1029.8 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).