Last Push To Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
| 1012 | 924 | 62% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 980 | 995 | 48% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 947 | 964 | 48% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 868 | 847 | 53% | 2015-06-07 | Won |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1098 | 52% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1024 | 64% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 986 | 52% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 916 | 872 | 56% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1146 | 48% | 2010-09-13 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1084 | 52% | 2010-08-02 | Lost |
| 906 | 1084 | 26% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1047 | 48% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 963 | 1132 | 27% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1025 vs 1032.2 has a 48.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).