Vogt's Ritterkreuz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (13 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Dutch): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 922 | 1000 | 39% | 2024-06-30 | Won |
| 952 | 1259 | 15% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1239 | 17% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 916 | 874 | 56% | 2018-04-09 | Won |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1009 | 983 | 54% | 2017-02-01 | Won |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2016-05-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2014-04-09 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2013-04-23 | Won |
| 948 | 916 | 55% | 2010-10-26 | Won |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2010-09-08 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 976 vs 1025.8 has a 42.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).