Stairway to Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (5 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Republican): 7
Defender wins (Nationalist): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1259 | 927 | 87% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-03-29 | Won |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2018-02-07 | Lost |
| 1081 | 976 | 65% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2011-02-28 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1069.4 vs 997.4 has a 60.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).