Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 164 (50 on the archive and 114 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 92
Defender wins (German): 72
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 936 | 1069 | 32% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 954 | 1142 | 25% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 921 | 1040 | 34% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 964 | 971 | 49% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1076 | 971 | 65% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1299 | 16% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 946 | 924 | 53% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1149 | 1155 | 49% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 1016 | 957 | 58% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 968 | 1015 | 43% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 998 | 1259 | 18% | 2020-03-12 | Lost |
| 963 | 999 | 45% | 2020-01-24 | Won |
| 1120 | 976 | 70% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1073 | 981 | 63% | 2019-07-10 | Won |
| 992 | 989 | 50% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1110 | 997 | 66% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 938 | 1120 | 26% | 2016-11-14 | Lost |
| 1176 | 986 | 75% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 1004 | 968 | 55% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 922 | 60% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 970 | 987 | 48% | 2015-07-17 | Lost |
| 989 | 1084 | 37% | 2015-07-09 | Won |
| 976 | 1215 | 20% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1038 | 1215 | 27% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1062 | 979 | 62% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1056 | 40% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 1156 | 1279 | 33% | 2014-03-21 | Lost |
| 889 | 1038 | 30% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 976 | 956 | 53% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 1067 | 40% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
| 1125 | 955 | 73% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 882 | 1167 | 16% | 2012-04-30 | Lost |
| 986 | 1020 | 45% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1066 | 43% | 2011-10-30 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2011-10-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 916 | 74% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1205 | 1018 | 75% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1223 | 1021 | 76% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1047 | 1145 | 36% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 916 | 995 | 39% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1043 | 940 | 64% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 922 | 1098 | 27% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1017.6 vs 1044.3 has a 46.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).