Opium Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (Malayan/British): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1261 | 1000 | 82% | 2023-07-27 | Won |
| 963 | 988 | 46% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 980 | 995 | 48% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 907 | 1040 | 32% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
| 916 | 1062 | 30% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 954 | 1074 | 33% | 2015-08-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 992 | 48% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1001 | 1075 | 40% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 933 | 41% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 944 | 870 | 60% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1062 | 46% | 2012-04-13 | Lost |
| 989 | 823 | 72% | 2011-11-14 | Won |
| 999 | 1096 | 36% | 2011-11-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 1125 | 26% | 2011-09-04 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1039 | 51% | 2011-05-21 | Lost |
| 938 | 896 | 56% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 982.3 vs 1002.6 has a 47.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).