Three for the Third
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (8 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 835 | 79% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 976 | 1207 | 21% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 964 | 1239 | 17% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 986 | 1075 | 37% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2011-10-14 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1134 | 52% | 2011-06-30 | Lost |
| 922 | 1098 | 27% | 2011-04-28 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1215 | 48% | 2011-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1100.4 has a 39.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).