By Dawn's Early Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (19 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (American): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1258 | 37% | 2024-10-27 | Won |
| 973 | 976 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 995 | 995 | 50% | 2023-03-27 | Won |
| 962 | 983 | 47% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1292 | 38% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 1023 | 52% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1279 | 17% | 2021-10-03 | Lost |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1084 | 55% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 1093 | 1074 | 53% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1074 | 53% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
| 982 | 970 | 52% | 2017-05-18 | Won |
| 993 | 1210 | 22% | 2014-07-07 | Lost |
| 1043 | 946 | 64% | 2014-02-23 | Lost |
| 1250 | 1209 | 56% | 2012-07-28 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1100 | 44% | 2012-05-18 | Won |
| 1018 | 1205 | 25% | 2012-03-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 957 | 54% | 2012-03-11 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1085.1 has a 44.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).