Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 959 | 67% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 985 | 1279 | 16% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 906 | 1084 | 26% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 999 | 1057 | 42% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 963 | 963 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1016 | 80% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 976 | 1082 | 35% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1156 | 823 | 87% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 896 | 938 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 1051 | 916 | 69% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1146 | 1108 | 55% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 1015.3 has a 51.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).