A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 921 | 54% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 963 | 64% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 898 | 64% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1156 | 976 | 74% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 1043 | 924 | 66% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 1207 | 976 | 79% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 1279 | 18% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1215 | 976 | 80% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2012-11-13 | Won |
| 963 | 1043 | 39% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 1084 | 36% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1100 | 983 | 66% | 2012-02-24 | Won |
| 1178 | 1279 | 36% | 2012-02-17 | Tied |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1024 has a 54.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).