Gabriel's Horn
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 823 | 73% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1085 | 936 | 70% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 1147 | 978 | 73% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 918 | 1000 | 38% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 947 | 1060 | 34% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1239 | 981 | 82% | 2020-09-16 | Lost |
| 998 | 981 | 52% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1238 | 1196 | 56% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2017-05-23 | Lost |
| 1207 | 865 | 88% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 1008 | 889 | 66% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1239 | 1097 | 69% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1151 | 823 | 87% | 2014-02-23 | Won |
| 1210 | 993 | 78% | 2014-01-03 | Won |
| 1151 | 823 | 87% | 2013-02-23 | Won |
| 1026 | 1067 | 44% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 976 | 980 | 49% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1202 | 1279 | 39% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1279 | 28% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1004 | 916 | 62% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 965 | 59% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 881 | 1098 | 22% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1210 | 49% | 2011-12-30 | Lost |
| 903 | 1021 | 34% | 2011-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1076.2 vs 1011.7 has a 59.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).